What I think the FBI tests fail to capture is the kinetic energy dump. Sure, .45 acp and 9mm may have similar permanent wound channels and even penetration, but I really think that it's myopic to consider all the real world events that have shown heavier calibers to have a lot more "stopping power" in real world applications. Don't get me wrong, I think 9mm is a great balance of just about everything, but I'm not going to pretend that there are no advantages to having a heavier round (at the cost of capacity, and felt recoil of course).Stiff wrote: Sun Aug 09, 2020 6:35 pm I have watched this video before, but somehow I didn’t quite understand it, or maybe I refused to understand. I came across it again today, and a lightbulb went off in my head.
These guys are not only professionals, they have access to a tremendous amount of data. Due to their company’s close relationship with the FBI and police departments, they can (and do) correlate handgun bullet performance in ballistic gelatin with real world incidents. This information is usually hard to find on the internet.
The fact that blows my mind is human tissue elasticity. Under 2200 fps, temporary cavity created by a bullet has little destructive effect, and virtually all handgun bullets fall under that threshold. They say that they can make bullets go really fast, but they choose not to do it because the 100-200 fps difference would just be soaked by the tissue with little ill effect. One of the guys said that a 44 Magnum has considerably more energy than a regular .40 S&W, but the terminal ballistic effect is not as different as you think.
Paraphrasing their description, the important factors are shot placement, penetration, then expansion in the distant third. The FBI decided to adopt the 9mm again because of milder recoil (compared to .40 S&W) that makes the gun easier to control, thus increasing the probability of effective shot placement. Their choice is the 147 grain G2 Speer Gold Dot, which has excellent penetration at the expense of occasional failure to expand. This makes sense to me, because I read elsewhere that lighter 9mm bullets have a higher probability of getting deflected by bone (thus missing the targeted vital organs). Heavier bullets usually plow through and break through bones.
We know that controllability doesn’t depend on the bullet alone, the gun can make a lot of difference. A gun with a powerful cartridge that you can’t shoot accurately under stress is worse than one with an adequate cartridge that you can shoot well. The Glock 42 and the S&W Shield EZ make sense now. I think there’s too much emphasis placed on the cartridge’s “stopping power” and not enough on controllability and accuracy in real world conditions. The FBI knows that roughly half the shots missed their targets, and their effectiveness at stopping a perp would increase if they can improve that statistics.
The 9mm allows their handguns to have higher capacity, which means more statistical chances to hit where it matters.
TL;DR
Pick a handgun that you shoot best under stress, as long as the cartridge has adequate penetration. Consider higher capacity to compensate for lower accuracy.
If they were measuring the foot pounds of energy on impact, along with the wound channels, and everything else, I'd say that you could then completely discount the larger calibers stopping power, but I have never seen that done in any of the FBI penetration tests.