The Bay Area, Gun Violence, Class, and the Spectre of Gentrification

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https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng- ... estigation

The Guardian is doing a series on gun violence in the states. The two most interesting parts of the article are the acknowledgement from the Giffords folks that CA's laws likely have little to do with any decrease in gun violence in the Bay Area:
"California has the strongest gun laws in the country, and it’s enacted more than 30 new gun control laws since 2009 alone, according to Robyn Thomas, the executive director of the Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, which tracks gun legislation nationwide.

At the same time, Thomas said: “few of the laws enacted in the last 10 years would have been expected to entirely explain the significant reductions in the Bay Area."
The bigger issue seems to be class and violence. The Guardian chose the Bay Area, which is scarcely representative of cities in the states. The authors make the case that looking at the Bay Area is interesting because of the drops in gun violence but also because of the programmes that cities like Oakland have initiated and, importantly, funded, to work against everyday violence. These include initiatives that don't involve police and carceral power.

But... the spectre of gentrification looms over the entire article. There's a great map that shows changes in gun deaths, and while cities that touch the bay all saw decreases, cities filled with economic refugees saw increases. Stockton experienced the worst increase. In many ways, it's a map of privilege and scarcity, only scarcity is represented by an abundance of violence.

Overall, I liked the read, and I generally like The Guardian. I do wish had gone the route of looking at big drivers like class rather than finishing the article with a dive into the rabbit hole of individual moral stories and choices. But this is America, so there you have it.
"Time in an illusion, lunchtime, doubly so." Ford Prefect

Re: The Bay Area, Gun Violence, Class, and the Spectre of Gentrification

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senorgrand wrote:Same thing happened in NYC...get poor and working folks out and crime rates drop.
Yup, turns out the best way for a mayor to be "tough on crime" is to invest in the city in ways that make rich people want to live there. I'm seeing it right now in my city, which was the last "quaint" beach town in the county, about 30 minutes north of Ft. Lauderdale. A monstrous new concrete fishing pier that is the talk of the state, a remodeled beach front with new parking structures, tons of new restaurants and shopping, a revitalized downtown and arts district, and our very own Whole Foods with rumours of a Lucky's and a Trader Joe's being built by winter. Crime has fallen significantly as property values, and rents, have skyrocketed, forcing the "unwanted" to move further west. It's no longer the place I remember growing up and it never will be again, but I'm happy I bought in when I did. Now I just need to time my exit to get maximum market value before it's all under water.

Re: The Bay Area, Gun Violence, Class, and the Spectre of Gentrification

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The Guardian prides itself on being a liberal international publication, but it's reporters and columnists have followed the provincial UK attitude towards firearms for years. This was a team of reporters, maybe that's why it's more balanced.
The Bay Area still sees nearly 300 gun homicides each year. But these changes are profound. The majority of America’s gun homicide victims are black, killed in everyday shootings in segregated, economically struggling neighborhoods in cities such as Oakland and Richmond. It’s this everyday toll of violence, not mass shooting casualties, that drives America’s gun homicide rate 25 times higher than those of other wealthy countries.
Gun homicide rates for all races have fallen, but the drop was largest for black Bay Area residents: a 40% decrease.

In the past 10 years, tens of thousands of black residents have moved out of Oakland and San Francisco, as skyrocketing rents and housing prices have made the cities increasingly unaffordable. But in the region as a whole, the total number of black residents has remained steady, as the number of black residents living in the Bay Area’s outlying suburbs has increased, according to annual census estimates.
The decrease in overall violence also hasn’t brought about a corresponding drop in police shootings. An average of at least 14 people were killed by the police each year, most by gunfire, but some killed by other means, in the greater Bay Area since 2007, according to reports compiled by the state attorney general.
“As we make the city safer, are we opening up the floodgates more for gentrification? That’s what it feels like,” Clark said. “Are we cleaning up the city for other people to move in?”
They'll probably leave some poor areas, all those rich dudes still need to have someplace to buy their drugs.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: The Bay Area, Gun Violence, Class, and the Spectre of Gentrification

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featureless wrote:
kronkmusic wrote: Tue Jun 04, 2019 12:38 pm Now I just need to time my exit to get maximum market value before it's all under water.
I hear you there! I need two more years before the housing market implodes... So if you sell in 1.9 years, you'll be fine!
I'll probably be here for one more economic cycle before I move further up state to higher ground. Although, you want to talk about gentrification, we are now seeing true climate-driven gentrification in South Florida. The Little Haiti section of Miami has been an undesirable are for decades, and all the sudden property values are going through the roof there. It has nothing to do with ecenomic or community redevelopment, it has everything to do with the fact that it's the highest ground in the city, sitting and extra 5-6ft above sea level than the rest of the city. When real estate developers in Florida start seriously considering climate change and sea level rise, which they clearly are, it's time for all of us to start worrying, they're betting untold amounts of money on it at this point.

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