Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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I like Warren and I agree with her on many issues, but I fear in a general election that she'd run up the popular vote in blue states and not win enough electoral votes. Her base is white liberals college educated, most Democrats are liberal (51%) the rest aren't (47%) and not all are white.
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Most Americans identify as conservative or moderate, liberals are the minority.
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She needs to broaden her base and find common issues especially with independents.
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She's a tiger on consumer protection and healthcare which I admire. Her strong gun control stance and single payer only are a few areas where she should look at modifying her stances.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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I don't even know what "conservative" means anymore. I think that anyone claiming to be "moderate" should be asked what they mean by that term. A better question might define what liberal, moderate, and conservative means when asking. Or, they could use a variety of questions to measure that and publish the questions and crosstabs. Do they do that?

If "Independents" are 42% but lib/cons/mod are about a third each, is it assumed that the moderates/middle are the independents? That isn't 100% true. Plenty of ex-GOP, far-right, and leftists would be in that group.

Given the collapse of alleged "traditionally GOP values" within the GOP (e.g. free trade, human rights, pro-immigration, deficit reduction), I assume that a third pro-worker party could pick up some of those independents.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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These are usually self identification. Within conservative, moderate, liberal, there can be left, middle and right. It's always looking for common issues and then voters have to determine which issues are most important and we know some voters are single issue voters.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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senorgrand wrote: Mon Aug 26, 2019 4:30 pm
K9s wrote: Mon Aug 26, 2019 4:12 pm I think that is why they are going so far anti-gun... California primary. What else explains it? It explains why Swalwell thought he had a chance and ran on Cali platforms.
As discussed here before, being anti-2a allows dems liberal cred without upsetting their donor base.
The problem is, Warren and Sanders are trying to get downers from "common people", AKA Plebes. They don't want gun control. That's why Sanders is slipping, he can't realize that blue collar dems and radical dems don't want their rights taken away.

I'd argue that gun control is what cost Clinton the election in 2016. Warren and Sanders are taking a page out of the Clinton playbook and amping it up, and I think that's a losing strategy.

Every Democratic candidate is trying to outdo each other on gun control for the primary, and that's going to be a heavy liability in the general election.

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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NegativeApproach wrote: Thu Oct 03, 2019 9:51 am
senorgrand wrote: Mon Aug 26, 2019 4:30 pm
K9s wrote: Mon Aug 26, 2019 4:12 pm I think that is why they are going so far anti-gun... California primary. What else explains it? It explains why Swalwell thought he had a chance and ran on Cali platforms.
As discussed here before, being anti-2a allows dems liberal cred without upsetting their donor base.
The problem is, Warren and Sanders are trying to get downers from "common people", AKA Plebes. They don't want gun control. That's why Sanders is slipping, he can't realize that blue collar dems and radical dems don't want their rights taken away.

I'd argue that gun control is what cost Clinton the election in 2016. Warren and Sanders are taking a page out of the Clinton playbook and amping it up, and I think that's a losing strategy.

Every Democratic candidate is trying to outdo each other on gun control for the primary, and that's going to be a heavy liability in the general election.
Yeah, they said that about Trump. Racism: "that's going to be a heavy liability in the general election."

"They" say that about every Dem who wants Medicare for All or whatever. "Too far left" Liability in the general election.

Few people are paying much attention this far out from the election. Trump is on the ballot, and this will be a referendum on Trump.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

106
Where I am living/working here on the Illinois/Iowa border people are all over the coming 2020 elections and are most definitely paying attention and pushing and shoving already. Workplace arguments (I work in Iowa which is as Red as it gets) are commonplace with folks angry and taking sides big time. Even folks who didn't/don't vote are ramping up to vote in 2020.

Trump has polarized America. Good or bad, if one believes our vote still matters (I am extremely skeptical) people are even now looking at all of this and participating. Where I am (possibly by no means representative of the rest of the country) people are most definitely paying attention. They see 2020 as defining where America goes - whether we literally live/die - as being a distinct possibility. Where I am, most people want something done about mass killings but do not support gun bans and infringement on the 2A. Most people here want something done about health care, Social Security, Medicare - it's a mess and even if they are rampant Trump supporters they are resistant to what they see as "Socialism=Communism=Democrats=Progressive" as are many Democrats.

Maybe not where others are but here in the Midwest they are already geared up and chomping at the bit to have their say And they are carefully watching and scrutinize this impeachment stuff. The Dems have their attention. People are definitely intent, even this far out.

VooDoo
Tyrants disarm the people they intend to oppress. Hope is not a Plan.

Dot 'em if ya got 'em!

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

107
I read an article in the WaPo this morning that the Democratic Party establishment is worried that Warren is “too far left” and will thus lose against Trump. They are looking for ways to undermine her. Sound familiar?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... story.html
As Warren has steadily marched upward in the polls, the reality that she could become the nominee has unsettled some of the party’s top donors, who worry that she would hand the race to Trump. If it starts to look like Warren will win the party’s nomination, a longtime Democratic bundler said, “there will be efforts to stop that.”
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Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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Nahhhhh....they need tin foil hats. :lol:

The Owners and Operators of the Democrat Party are not going to move Left. Democrats want the Party to move Left but the Owners and Operators have no obligation to abide by The Peoples wishes nor votes. We'll get who they say we get. Start now showing your rage about being cheated. Again.

I'm convinced that this is a major reason The Dems want US disarmed. They fear what will happen when people have been cheated enough.

VooDoo
Tyrants disarm the people they intend to oppress. Hope is not a Plan.

Dot 'em if ya got 'em!

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

109
Democrats like to squabble among themselves, I don't see that going away until the convention and maybe not even then. HRC and her campaign thought that Trump was the easiest Republican to defeat and it blew up on them, they really didn't understand Trump and his appeal. Now Republicans are trying to maneuver and get the Democratic candidate that they feel is easiest to defeat next November. Whoever the nominee that person will need to win more than just blue states and Democrats and Leaners in red states to win the WH or it's just a replay of 2016.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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When I saw that banks and billionaires threatened to support Trump vs Warren if she gained the nomination, I realized I was correct to support Warren (my second choice vs Bernie).

I hear wealthy pundits and newscasters who work for billionaires on CNN and Fox claim that Warren and Sanders are too far left. Sounds like they are worried about something other than the people of this country.

VooDoo, we agree on a lot. If the Dems do not "go left" then they will be "left behind" by Dem voters again and Trump will be reelected. The GOP is horrible, but many Dems need a reason to vote. Vote your heart in the primaries, but make sure you vote in the primaries. You never know what can happen if you don't.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

111
A lot of movement in the polls, in the national polls Warren is ahead in some or within the margin of error of Biden. In state polls - PA, SC, OH, WI, NC it's Biden ahead. In OH and NV it's Biden and Sanders - CA and NH it's Warren and Biden.

It's still a horse race and fun to watch.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... ion_polls/
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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Interesting story in Politico about Warren and the far-right fake scandal industrial complex. They are going to throw out a few fake scandals per week about her to see if anything sticks so that Trump can repeat that sticky scandal day and night. They want another "But her emails" to smear Warren. Inevitably, something will come along. No one cares about the Pocahontas label anymore and a sex scandal doesn't ring true with her.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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Candidates go up and candidates go down in the polls, it's still a race. The presidency is won by winning states, not by winning the popular vote.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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If the race isn't a runaway, it will keep people interested over the next few months. That is good.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

117
Los Angeles billionaire Tom Gores has been the target of activists since his private equity firm bought a prison telephone company accused of ripping off inmates and their families. The controversy was enough to lose him a $150-million pension fund investment — and now he’s found himself dragged into the Democratic presidential campaign.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren is requesting that five private equity firms with portfolio companies that provide telecom, healthcare and other services to jails and prisons provide detailed disclosures about such holdings, including profits, the identities of other private equity co-investors and any legal or regulatory issues.
Gores’ Platinum Equity acquired Securus Technologies, the nation’s second-largest provider of telecommunications services to prisons and jails, for $1.6 billion in 2017. The Detroit Pistons owner and his Beverly Hills private equity firm have since been the target of activists who claim providers of prison services are making big profits off disproportionately poor and minority inmates and their families.
Warren introduced legislation in July that would make investments into private equity firms less attractive, accusing the firms of gobbling up some $5.8 trillion in capital globally since the end of the Great Recession by being able to capture the returns on their investments while being insulated from risks.

Her bill, which attracted Democratic co-sponsors, would require private equity firms to share responsibility of their portfolio companies’ debt, legal judgments and pension obligations, while banning investors from taking dividends for the first two years after an acquisition. It also would prioritize worker pay in the bankruptcy process, an issue that drew attention during the bankruptcy of Toys R Us.

Since then, Warren and Pocan sent letters to six private equity firms seeking information about their investments in for-profit colleges before they turned their attention to the prison services industry.
Mark Barnhill, a Platinum partner, said the company planned to provide all the requested information to Warren probably by next week and reiterated previous statements that the private equity firm is committed to reforming Securus and lowering rates. “We’re proud of the work we’re doing there to transform the company into a responsible — and responsibly run — market leader,” he wrote in an email.

On Thursday, amid the swirl of events, Securus announced a corporate reorganization that it said would reflect its transformation “from a traditional corrections telecommunications service provider to a diversified technology company providing innovative solutions to customers across multiple sectors.”
https://www.latimes.com/business/story/ ... chnologies

Good for Warren!
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

118
She says the right things and asks the right questions. Business titans may be frightened of her, but she would bring stability. They may not like her policies, but businesses can plan around stability.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

119
Looks like Warren received most of the attacks last night, not Biden.
South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg hit hard early in the debate, hammering Warren for refusing to directly answer a question about whether Medicare for All would lead to a middle-class tax hike. "Well, we heard it tonight, a yes or no question that didn't get a yes or no answer," Buttigieg said. "Look, this is why people here in the Midwest are so frustrated with Washington in general and Capitol Hill in particular. Your signature, Senator, is to have a plan for everything. Except this."

Warren retorted that overall costs will go up for the wealthy and for big corporations but down for middle class families. “I will not sign a bill into law that does not lower costs for middle class families.” Warren said. Sen. Amy Klobuchar also knocked Warren for how she’s gone about pushing her call for wealth tax, a plan that calls for a 2% hike on income for families making more than $50 million annually. Warren has said she would use the wealth tax to help fund tuition-free college, pay for universal childcare, and other programs.

“I want to give a reality check here to Elizabeth, because no one on this stage wants protect billionaires — not even the billionaire wants to protect billionaires,” said Klobuchar, referring to the billionaire candidate Steyer. “Your idea is not the only idea.” Former Rep. Beto O’Rourke said he thought Warren's message is often too divisive. “I think it’s part of the solution but I think we need to be focused on lifting people up and sometimes I think Senator Warren is focused on being punitive or pitting one side of the country against the other,” O’Rourke said.

Warren replied that she was "shocked at the notion that anyone thinks I'm punitive." "Look, I don't have a beef with billionaires," she said. "My problem is you made a fortune in America, you had a great idea, you got out there and worked for it, good for you. But you built that fortune in America. I guarantee you built it in part using workers all of us helped pay to educate. You built it in part getting your goods to markets on roads and bridges all of us helped pay for. You built it at least in part protected by police and firefighters all of us help pay the salaries for."
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/pol ... 991262002/

Good practice for a general election, Republicans will be asking the same questions whether it's Warren, Biden or Sanders.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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Bernie's answer on that question was the right one last night. Amy sounded desperate with her "I have ideas too!" statement. Warren was spot on that merely reversing the Trump tax cuts on the wealthy will NOT be enough to get the job done.

I'm also fed up with the line "You're throwing 150 million people who love their healthcare off of it". No. I don't know anyone who loves their healthcare. We've all seen our costs skyrocket while coverage goes down. Premiums go up, insurance companies rake in the dough. Fuck all that.

Also, as an aside- we recently switched from the Covered California exchange to buying plans directly from the provider. Same plan, $200 less per month- as if we needed more proof that the insurance companies were scamming consumers.
“Do the best you can until you know better. Then when you know better, do better.”
- Maya Angelou

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Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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shinzen wrote: Wed Oct 16, 2019 10:05 am Bernie's answer on that question was the right one last night. Amy sounded desperate with her "I have ideas too!" statement. Warren was spot on that merely reversing the Trump tax cuts on the wealthy will NOT be enough to get the job done.

I'm also fed up with the line "You're throwing 150 million people who love their healthcare off of it". No. I don't know anyone who loves their healthcare. We've all seen our costs skyrocket while coverage goes down. Premiums go up, insurance companies rake in the dough. Fuck all that.

Also, as an aside- we recently switched from the Covered California exchange to buying plans directly from the provider. Same plan, $200 less per month- as if we needed more proof that the insurance companies were scamming consumers.
Like the fossil fuel industry Dems, the insurance industry backed Dems just repeat something until it becomes "accepted" as true.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

122
For Warren to be fuzzy on details makes a lot of sense. But it looks bad on a stage. People want 10 word answers to 10,000 word problems.

The fact is that any implementation of universal single payer healthcare is a 10 to 15 year transition. It transcends any one POTUS in office.

Suppose the Dems win a majority in the House, Senate and the POTUS - it is still 2 to 3 years before a complete bill with an actionable funded plan can be brought into law. My guess is that NO ONE has invested enough to have a day one plan ready - it is a complex problem. Basically, single payer means removing the bulk of healthcare from a "market" and treating it like a mostly regulated system.

I am 100% in favor of this transition; it is not a quick change. At 63 years of age, I expect to be gone by the time any such system is fully functional and refined. This is a generation change subject, not a 4 year fix.


Here are a few minor details in any such transition:

The Health Insurance industry employs 894,000 people in the United States. There are 273 US companies with a primary industry of "Health Insurance". Yes, a few of them are also "providers", but most are simply in the Insurance and claims processing business.

The Health Insurance industry is just under a Trillion $USD annually. So ignore hospitals, doctors, nurses and pharmacists. Just the health insurance industry employs almost a million people. (BTW, this is one symptom that the system is broken. There are 1.1 million licensed doctors in the US, and - you guessed it, about the same number of doctors working in healthcare as there are employees in health insurance.)

So a change to single payer is a substantive shift, and it needs a proper plan with a transition. Otherwise, if we take the "Medicare for all" proposals literally, we will need to fire 894,000 private sector insurance employees and hire at least a quarter as many Federal employees to manage a system.

See table of health insurance providers below. Of course there are some errors in the table, but by and large, it properly scopes the industry.

Link to table of health insurance companies in the US.

http://cdn-max.s3.amazonaws.com/Health_ ... ce_PDF.pdf

- Max
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Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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No one seems to understand (I mean few....not all) that we are paying 2X-3X for the same meds and treatments done in other countries. We are paying out the fanny for healthcare because if you don't play by their rules you can always suffer and die. If we get the uber/ultra profitable insurance companies and Big Pharma out of our way we should be able to afford what we want at less than we are paying now.

Too many people think the cost will skyrocket when it has *already* sky rocketed. Get rid of the middle men.

VooDoo
Tyrants disarm the people they intend to oppress. Hope is not a Plan.

Dot 'em if ya got 'em!

Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

124
VodoundaVinci - I completely agree.

I would like to point out that getting rid of 1 million "middle men" has consequences as well, economic, societal and human impact.
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Re: Elizabeth Warren 2020

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I agree Max, these are just concepts right now and what comes out of the legislative process will be different. It's all about votes and members of congress all have their special interests. Like Social Security and Medicare which had no Republican support, I expect the same for any national health legislation.

Congrats Shinzen, $200 per month is a nice savings I hope you also got more benefits in the new policy.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

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