Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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Baby, it's frigid outside.

A large swath of Canada, from the Prairies to Nova Scotia, is under a deep freeze. Temperatures in Winnipeg are dipping down to –36 C Monday night with a windchill of almost –50 C. In Windsor, which is typically the warmest spot in Ontario, the overnight temperature will dip to –27 C with a windchill of –40 C. Even in parts of the U.S. Midwest, temperatures are expected to have a wind chill of –50 C.

This may leave some, like U.S. president Donald Trump, wondering where global warming has wandered off to.
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The fact is, it's climate change, or global warming, that's behind this extreme cold. Ever since the bitter winter of 2014, a new winter-weather catchphrase has been making the rounds: polar vortex. The polar vortex is nothing new. It's just that it typically encircles the north pole. However, in recent years, it seems to be meandering southward every so often. "This air mass always exists, and it often gets bumped and pushed around. In this case, the jet stream pushed it all the way down to the U.S. Midwest," said CBC meteorologist Johanna Wagstaffe. "Sometimes that air mass can get split, or divided because of the jet stream, so it ends up getting stuck in place."

That's what happened this week: the jet stream managed to split the descending polar vortex into three. Though it's a relatively new area of study, there's increasing evidence that suggests this phenomenon will happen more often and become more extreme. The key lies with the jet stream, a narrow, fast-moving band of air in our upper atmosphere that moves weather patterns around. In the past, the jet stream moved fairly smoothly around the northern hemisphere. But recently, it's developed more pronounced kinks that can bring cold, Arctic air much farther south than in the past, or bring heat from the Gulf of Mexico further north than has been typical. And it's linked to the Arctic.

A recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report found the Arctic is warming two to three times faster than anywhere else on Earth. This temperature difference upsets the stability of the jet stream. And that brings the cold Arctic air southward where it can linger, a result that meteorologists call a blocking pattern. "We have seen more of these; we've noticed that trend already, that's proven. And all of our climate models show this trend will continue," Wagstaffe said. "And that doesn't just mean more heat and more drought conditions. It can also mean more of these extreme cold blasts or extreme wet or snowy systems staying in place longer than normal."

The important thing to remember when discussing climate change is that climate and weather are two separate entities. Weather is the state of the atmosphere pertaining to things like wind, moisture, temperature and more that occur on a day-to-day basis. Climate, on the other hand, is the average weather in one place over a long period of time. Just because you step outside and the tears caused by bitter wind freeze on your cheeks, doesn't mean that climate change isn't happening. In fact, at the same time much of Canada is in a deep freeze, other parts of the world are experiencing the opposite.

"The atmosphere is always trying to balance out its energy," Wagstaffe said. "So right now, on the other side of the globe, parts of northern Europe and northern Russia, they're actually experiencing record-breaking warm temperatures for this time of the year, and really close to the north pole." Climate change isn't about what's happening today, but what's happening globally, over time.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/technology/clim ... -1.4998820
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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On the other side of the spectrum, our weather is definitely not normal. February is supposed to be our coldest month. It is 64 right now. Forecast:

Tuesday

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.


Tuesday Night

A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 52.


Wednesday

A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 68.


Wednesday Night

A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 57.


Thursday

A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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Lake Superior went from 20% ice cover one week ago to 50% this last friday. Thats a lot of ice in just a few days. Our coldest night last week where I live saw -38, 70 miles north it hit -57. I think it was the coldest spot in the nation. The worst memories I have of my job was during ugly cold snaps at night, not fun being on a train in the middle of no where with the air breaks failing and fuel jelling up.

Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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The worst memories I have of my job was during ugly cold snaps at night, not fun being on a train in the middle of no where with the air breaks failing and fuel jelling up.
Yikes and how many people are on a train, you and maybe one other? Hope you had satellite radio to communicate in case of emergency. I remember the train tracks along the Highline area of MT, seems like nothing for miles.

Another storm heading east, it just poured here yesterday and when it rains in So Cal it floods and that also means flowing mud. Heavy equipment out clearing roads especially washes in my area. Recently burned areas got flooding. The clouds still lingering are really dark.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan

Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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One just has to follow the animal tracks. In Mn long standing animal residents are disappearing and new ones from south of here are establishing a foot hold. There is no fossil evidence that opossums have ever lived here but at least 2/3rds of the state have them. Same with Turkeys they were planted in the far southwest of the state years ago because it was figured it had the best weather to sustain them, now I have them knocking on my windows. It's the same with fish, the average water temp is getting too warm for some of the fish this state is famous for.

Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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Before cable weather, we used to just call it" winter", and Mom would tell us to dress warm when she kicked us out of the house to quiet the place down for her afternoon coffee. Now, she would probably meet the good people from Child Services, but then, we were poor (one TV, one bathroom, one phone) and the house was small. And we all survived.
Freedom is never more than one generation away from extinction. It must be fought for, protected, and handed on or one day we will spend our sunset years telling our children what it was once like in the United States where men were free.
- Ronald Reagan

Re: Polar Vortex - stay safe and warm

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eelj wrote: Sun Feb 03, 2019 3:26 pm One just has to follow the animal tracks. In Mn long standing animal residents are disappearing and new ones from south of here are establishing a foot hold. There is no fossil evidence that opossums have ever lived here but at least 2/3rds of the state have them. Same with Turkeys they were planted in the far southwest of the state years ago because it was figured it had the best weather to sustain them, now I have them knocking on my windows. It's the same with fish, the average water temp is getting too warm for some of the fish this state is famous for.
Same with the plants. I would love to be able to track the spread of kudzu yearly. Some day, they will have to fight that monstrosity in DC.
It is an unfortunate human failing that a full pocketbook often groans more loudly than an empty stomach.

- Franklin D. Roosevelt

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