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Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Mon Feb 22, 2016 9:14 pm
by SilasSoule
This video breaks down 2015 mass shootings into categories (for the purpose of taking a dig at Trump). It may be of broader interest to LGC folks.

96 bar/party/club incidents
83 gang related
68 domestic disputes
54 lone wolf/unknown cause (mental health issues?)
12 armed robbery/home invasions
11 drug related
6 terror/hate crimes (not connected with Islamic extremism)
2 terror/hate crimes (Islamic extremism)

https://www.facebook.com/GOODHQ/videos/ ... 002308059/

Stats are said to be from http://www.shootingtracker.com/Main_Page

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Mon Feb 22, 2016 9:29 pm
by DispositionMatrix
ShootingTracker numbers are being posted here now? The person behind ShootingTracker already admitted to arbitrarily redefining "mass shooting." You can or could find the post on Reddit. Even Mother Jones, one of the most anti-RKBA rags in existence today, admitted ShootingTracker was a propaganda tool. I would need verification of the numbers in the OP.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Feb 23, 2016 6:56 am
by SilasSoule
DispositionMatrix wrote:ShootingTracker numbers are being posted here now? The person behind ShootingTracker already admitted to arbitrarily redefining "mass shooting." You can or could find the post on Reddit. Even Mother Jones, one of the most anti-RKBA rags in existence today, admitted ShootingTracker was a propaganda tool. I would need verification of the numbers in the OP.
OK here it is:

"Mother Jones counts a mass shooting as any incident in which a lone gunman kills at least four people in a public place, while also excluding gang violence. But the Mass Shooting Tracker — which is built by members of the social-sharing site Reddit, and which uses news reports as sources — defines a mass shooting as any incident, anywhere, in which at least four people are shot, but not necessarily killed."

Has the U.S. had 4 mass shootings this year or 353? Estimates vary that much
http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-san ... story.html

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Feb 23, 2016 8:26 am
by DispositionMatrix
SilasSoule wrote:
DispositionMatrix wrote:ShootingTracker numbers are being posted here now? The person behind ShootingTracker already admitted to arbitrarily redefining "mass shooting." You can or could find the post on Reddit. Even Mother Jones, one of the most anti-RKBA rags in existence today, admitted ShootingTracker was a propaganda tool. I would need verification of the numbers in the OP.
OK here it is:

"Mother Jones counts a mass shooting as any incident in which a lone gunman kills at least four people in a public place, while also excluding gang violence. But the Mass Shooting Tracker — which is built by members of the social-sharing site Reddit, and which uses news reports as sources — defines a mass shooting as any incident, anywhere, in which at least four people are shot, but not necessarily killed."

Has the U.S. had 4 mass shootings this year or 353? Estimates vary that much
http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-san ... story.html
And creativity is then used to disassociate gang-related shootings from "gang violence." When MJ mentioned Reddit, the author was actually referring to https://www.reddit.com/r/gunsarecool (GrC), which is the home of disarmament enthusiasm on Reddit.

I'm sure there is at least one thread on Shooting Tracker on this site.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Feb 23, 2016 9:22 am
by ArmedAndLiberal
DispositionMatrix wrote:ShootingTracker numbers are being posted here now?
:w00t: It is good enough for the CSGV. :w00t:

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Feb 23, 2016 9:33 am
by SmokeFan

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 5:46 am
by SilasSoule
If 4 or more people are shot in a single incident, I think it is fair to call that a mass shooting, regardless of how many actually die. It even seems plausible to consider 3 a mass shooting. Assuming in both cases that there is only one shooter. If 10 people were shot but no one died, you wouldn't consider that a mass shooting?

The point is that there are a lot of causes of violence. Those causes are what needs to be dealt with or else people will continue to hurt each other by whatever means are available.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 8:58 am
by Inquisitor
SilasSoule wrote:If 4 or more people are shot in a single incident, I think it is fair to call that a mass shooting, regardless of how many actually die. It even seems plausible to consider 3 a mass shooting. Assuming in both cases that there is only one shooter. If 10 people were shot but no one died, you wouldn't consider that a mass shooting?

The point is that there are a lot of causes of violence. Those causes are what needs to be dealt with or else people will continue to hurt each other by whatever means are available.
The trouble isn't the definition. It's the changing definition to gin up fear.

Before the change mass shootings, you could claim they were not on the rise and talk about statistical insignificance.

Words matter. So does intent. We talk about "gun violence" as a monolithic thing, and it's anything but.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 9:31 am
by shinzen
Inquisitor wrote:
The trouble isn't the definition. It's the changing definition to gin up fear.
This. So much this. The stats are used to compare apples and elephants. ZOMG MASS SHOOTINGS ARE UP 4000% IN THE LAST THREE YEARS (Amazingly matching the amount of time this tracker has been around) MUST BAN EVERYTHING, HEAD FOR YOUR BUNKERS!!!

I won't give credence to this kind of garbage. If we want to discuss an issue, let's all start from the same facts.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 9:37 am
by DispositionMatrix
SilasSoule wrote:If 4 or more people are shot in a single incident, I think it is fair to call that a mass shooting, regardless of how many actually die. It even seems plausible to consider 3 a mass shooting. Assuming in both cases that there is only one shooter. If 10 people were shot but no one died, you wouldn't consider that a mass shooting?
Shooting Tracker was meant to up the count of alleged mass shootings to promote the cause of gun prohibition. That's the real issue. With regard to gangs, the GrC approach apparently is to present some shootings as, say, two groups who might happen to be comprised of gang members getting into a gun fight over someone having a bad day or whatever can be deemed not specifically gang-related. So GrCers will call that a mass shooting, thus bumping up the number further.

I'm willing to bet when most people hear "mass shooting" they think of a single person or very small group shooting many out of some kind of angst or derangement--invoking images of the Charleston, San Bernardino, and Kalamazoo shooters, for example. Shooting Tracker is intended to inflate the number associated in the public mind with those types of shootings.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 9:55 am
by KnightsFan
DispositionMatrix wrote:With regard to gangs, the GrC approach apparently is to present some shootings as, say, two groups who might happen to be comprised of gang members getting into a gun fight over someone having a bad day or whatever can be deemed not specifically gang-related.
Except that describes probably 90% of "gang shootings." Cops ID gang shootings by perpetrators, not by motive.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 11:23 am
by SmokeFan
SilasSoule wrote:If 4 or more people are shot in a single incident, I think it is fair to call that a mass shooting, regardless of how many actually die. It even seems plausible to consider 3 a mass shooting. Assuming in both cases that there is only one shooter. If 10 people were shot but no one died, you wouldn't consider that a mass shooting?
It depends on what the "mass shooting" was. If it's a bunch of gangbangers having it out over turf wars or because gangbanger A threw shade at gangbanger B's lady, I'm going to look at it a lot differently than if it's angry (usually) white douchecanoe deciding to take out his anger at life on a bunch of innocent people at a Cracker Barrel. Or as I put it in the blog post,
355 mass shootings? Five? Four? Some claim that it doesn’t matter if there have been 355 or four, as even four are too many. Some claim that it doesn’t matter because we need to know about all deaths involving firearms, regardless whether they are a rampage shooting/publicity murder in a public place, an abusive husband murdering his wife and children just as she is getting ready to divorce him, or gang warfare in the inner city.

Maybe so, maybe not.

I believe definitions matter.

I believe definitions matter because I believe how we talk about problems matters. “355 mass shootings in 2015” sounds like a middle-class white female is at significant risk of a Sandy Hook- or San Bernardino-type rampage shooting/publicity murder while she sits at Starbucks nursing her Holiday Spice Flat White, when the reality is that the risk of being shot in a rampage shooting/publicity murder is roughly the same as the risk of being struck by lightning.

I believe definitions matter because I believe root cause matters. “355 mass shootings in 2015” doesn’t differentiate among reasons for violence. There is a vast gulf in root cause between a rampage shooting/publicity murder and gang violence. There is a vast gulf in root cause between a domestic violence murder-suicide and a lonely, depressed, desperate person taking his own life. There is a vast gulf in root cause between a Sandy Hook- or Columbine-style school shooting and a drug deal gone wrong on a college campus.

If we lump all “mass shootings” under the same umbrella, we fail to acknowledge root causes.

If we fail to acknowledge root causes, we fail to tackle the causes of violence.

If we fail to tackle the causes of violence, there will be more “mass shootings.”

Of whatever definition.
(As an aside, I was drinking a Holiday Spice Flat White when I wrote that.)
The point is that there are a lot of causes of violence. Those causes are what needs to be dealt with or else people will continue to hurt each other by whatever means are available.
Agreed. But calling EvErYtHiNg a "mass shooting" doesn't get to root cause, it just blames the gun for the problem.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 12:34 pm
by Bacchus
Adding to what has been very well-articulated by others, or +1. It's not just the definition, it's the intent. Shooting Tracker is a made-up thing, something an internet crank created to breed fear for the purpose of demonstrating that Guns Are Bad. It is nothing to do with cause of violence or solutions to reduce violence in our society. It is designed to send people running for fear of the mass murderers who are apparently running rampant on our streets.

Silas: You want to define mass shootings as three people shot? Why not three shots fired in a public space? It is ridiculous fear-mongering. It is facile. Preventing gang-related shootings or shootings from an unhinged individual require completely different approaches.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 5:58 pm
by pdoggeth
Not to pile up on you Silas, but things like shooting tracker are like those inflated statistics showing that minorities/poor people/democrats/new black panthers commit voter fraud at an alarming rate. Or "studies" that show that climate change is a hoax.

All it does is push an agenda, and it doesn't really purvey any meaningful information.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Wed Feb 24, 2016 6:20 pm
by DispositionMatrix
It's worth noting many popular newstainment organizations--WaPo, NYT, BBC, CBS News, CNN, LA Times, The Guardian, MSNBC, NY Daily News, USA Today, and The Independent to name a few--use Shooting Tracker as a source for stats. Thus they are publishing propaganda.

The Trace uses it as well, of course, as does Esquire and The Economist. The Daily Show, at least when Jon Stewart was at the helm, did, too.

Mission accomplished.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Thu Feb 25, 2016 11:47 am
by SmokeFan
DispositionMatrix wrote:It's worth noting many popular newstainment organizations--WaPo, NYT, BBC, CBS News, CNN, LA Times, The Guardian, MSNBC, NY Daily News, USA Today, and The Independent to name a few--use Shooting Tracker as a source for stats. Thus they are publishing propaganda.

The Trace uses it as well, of course, as does Esquire and The Economist. The Daily Show, at least when Jon Stewart was at the helm, did, too.

Mission accomplished.
And sadly, they're not skeptical enough to realize that it came from a couple Redditors who decided unilaterally to change the game.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Mar 01, 2016 5:49 am
by SilasSoule
pdoggeth wrote:Not to pile up on you Silas, but things like shooting tracker are like those inflated statistics showing that minorities/poor people/democrats/new black panthers commit voter fraud at an alarming rate. Or "studies" that show that climate change is a hoax.

All it does is push an agenda, and it doesn't really purvey any meaningful information.
Not a fair comparison. The numbers for voter fraud really are very low. Shooting Tracker is not making up incidents or inflating numbers, they are just categorizing them so that four people shot in a single incident is a "mass shooting". Four seems very fair to me.

But the point of my original post was to show the kinds of situations that are connected with mass shootings. I found it very interesting that it is not just, or even mostly, wacked-out loners venting their angst on "society". It's people behaving badly with firearms in a range of situations in which people are prone to exercise of poor judgement.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Mar 01, 2016 7:11 am
by DispositionMatrix
SilasSoule wrote:
pdoggeth wrote:Not to pile up on you Silas, but things like shooting tracker are like those inflated statistics showing that minorities/poor people/democrats/new black panthers commit voter fraud at an alarming rate. Or "studies" that show that climate change is a hoax.

All it does is push an agenda, and it doesn't really purvey any meaningful information.
Shooting Tracker is not making up incidents or inflating numbers, they are just categorizing them so that four people shot in a single incident is a "mass shooting".
As was clearly posted above and has been pointed out multiple times elsewhere, they're doing much more than that.

I'll concede you think it's "fair" though.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Mar 01, 2016 11:07 am
by Inquisitor
SilasSoule wrote:
pdoggeth wrote:Not to pile up on you Silas, but things like shooting tracker are like those inflated statistics showing that minorities/poor people/democrats/new black panthers commit voter fraud at an alarming rate. Or "studies" that show that climate change is a hoax.

All it does is push an agenda, and it doesn't really purvey any meaningful information.
Not a fair comparison. The numbers for voter fraud really are very low. Shooting Tracker is not making up incidents or inflating numbers, they are just categorizing them so that four people shot in a single incident is a "mass shooting". Four seems very fair to me.

But the point of my original post was to show the kinds of situations that are connected with mass shootings. I found it very interesting that it is not just, or even mostly, wacked-out loners venting their angst on "society". It's people behaving badly with firearms in a range of situations in which people are prone to exercise of poor judgement.
I agree with the assessment that it's not just whacked out loners.

There are a host of issues in society that lead to violence of various sorts, including suicides.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Mar 01, 2016 12:44 pm
by SmokeFan
SilasSoule wrote:
pdoggeth wrote:Not to pile up on you Silas, but things like shooting tracker are like those inflated statistics showing that minorities/poor people/democrats/new black panthers commit voter fraud at an alarming rate. Or "studies" that show that climate change is a hoax.

All it does is push an agenda, and it doesn't really purvey any meaningful information.
Not a fair comparison. The numbers for voter fraud really are very low. Shooting Tracker is not making up incidents or inflating numbers, they are just categorizing them so that four people shot in a single incident is a "mass shooting". Four seems very fair to me.
Actually, if you use the FBI definition of a "mass killing" (3 or more people, not counting the killer, killed in a single incident), the numbers are likewise pretty low. Same with the Mother Jones definition of a "mass shooting" (4 or more people, not counting the shooter, killed in a single incident). As I recall from law school first-year contracts, everyone needs to be on the same page with definitions. :D And not everyone's on board with a definition concocted by a couple Redditors with an agenda.
But the point of my original post was to show the kinds of situations that are connected with mass shootings. I found it very interesting that it is not just, or even mostly, wacked-out loners venting their angst on "society". It's people behaving badly with firearms in a range of situations in which people are prone to exercise of poor judgement.
Well, agreed. But again, that "range of situations" has a host of causes and a host of potential solutions. But the aforementioned Redditors-with-an-agenda want the "solution" to be GET RID OF GUNZ!, not root cause mitigation.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Tue Mar 01, 2016 1:39 pm
by pdoggeth
Well, I guess Quiz, Dispo, and Smoke said it for me already. =)

Just to add, I think it's fine that we explore and study what mass shootings (or even the more general "active shootings") may have in common, or what may cause them. However, I think the folks who presented the video -- and the folks who presented the trumped-up mass shooting numbers -- they may have a case of "having the answer in mind while posing the question they ask". Usually the answer is just "because guns". And along those lines "because guns R bad". It goes back to what I said about these guys having an agenda first, and not really trying to find any actual root cause answers to the questions they pose.

Re: Video shows causation factors behind mass shootings

Posted: Mon Mar 07, 2016 6:14 am
by SilasSoule
Whether or not a shooting victim dies or not is a technicality (although one that is very important, especially to the shooting victim). Whether or not you die from being shot does not make the shooter's behavior better or worse - it just depends on how good the shooter's aim was and how bad the victim's luck was. If someone shoots four people, that is clearly a mass shooting, regardless of the number of fatalities.