Pollster Patrick Ruffini makes some good points.
Donald Trump made another round of historic gains with nonwhite voters, flipping Miami-Dade County red for the first time since 1988, and outright winning South Texas, a mainstay of the Democratic Party for more than a century. The gains extended to swing states, where Trump made solid gains among Puerto Ricans in Allentown, PA and Dominicans in Hazleton, PA.
Overall, the exit polls show him within 10 points among Hispanic voters, making historic gains among Asian voters, and winning almost a quarter of Black men. And he did this while continuing to build on his gains with the white working class—and also gaining pretty much everywhere else. He further eroded the Democrats’ nonwhite working class majority to the low 30s, down from 67 points when Barack Obama was running for re-election in 2012.
For the first time, the income curve was inverted: that is, the Republican nominee won more support from low-income than high-income voters. Previously that was only true among whites, but now it’s true for all voters. We are starting to see a united front of working class voters across racial lines that will go so far as to change decades of established voting patterns to vote against uncontrolled illegal immigration, lax attitudes towards crime, and liberal ideas about race and gender that make absolutely no difference to them in their day-to-day lives.
Emblematic of this shift was Starr County, Texas, a 97-percent Hispanic county I visited while reporting on the book. It went from Clinton +60 to Biden +5 to Trump +16. This was the most Democratic county in the country in 2012. If you thought 2016 and 2020 were a fluke, yesterday confirmed they were almost certainly not. The Realignment is here to stay.
https://www.patrickruffini.com/p/the-bo ... 4-election
Starr County, Texas hasn't voted Republican since 1892. There are a lot of lessons for Democrats to learn from the last 3 elections, but I'm not confident that the Democratic Party will learn anything. That doesn't bode well for the 2026 midterm and the 2028 general election, they might surprise us but I'm not hopeful.
"Everyone is entitled to their own opinion, but not their own facts." - Daniel Patrick Moynihan